{"id":5483,"date":"2022-05-16T12:06:59","date_gmt":"2022-05-16T12:06:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.elitestage.cn\/?p=5483"},"modified":"2023-03-29T11:09:19","modified_gmt":"2023-03-29T11:09:19","slug":"china-q1-2022-economic-data-overview-key-points-and-trends","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.elitestage.cn\/de\/china-q1-2022-economic-data-overview-key-points-and-trends\/","title":{"rendered":"China Q1 2022 Economic Data Overview– Key Points and Trends"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"\"According to the recently released economic statistics by the\u00a0National Bureau of Statistics\u00a0and the\u00a0Ministry of Commerce, China’s first quarter (Q1) growth exceeded expectations, with an increase of gross domestic product (GDP) by 4.8 percent and growing inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) by 25.6 percent.<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Despite new domestic COVID-19 lockdowns and unanticipated geopolitical events, China’s authorities\u00a0remain optimistic\u00a0<\/strong>as the country’s high-tech industries and green economy continue to show robustness. New policy interventions also facilitate market openings and raising efficiencies to attract foreign investors.<\/section>\n
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China’s economic data from Q1 2022<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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In Q1 of 2022, China’s GDP\u00a0expanded 4.8 percent<\/strong>\u00a0from a year earlier, showing a\u00a0better-than-expected<\/strong>\u00a0performance and surpassing the four percent recorded in Q4 2021, as per\u00a0data from the NBS.Despite challenges from fresh COVID-19 outbreaks and geopolitical uncertainties, China’s economy\u00a0continues to recover<\/strong>. In Q1,\u00a0the value added of industry\u00a0above the scale\u00a0grew by 6.5 percent<\/strong>\u00a0year-on-year (y-o-y), picking up from the fourth quarter of the previous year and maintaining fast growth.\u00a0The high-tech manufacturing industry\u00a0grew by 14.2<\/strong>\u00a0percent y-o-y, significantly higher than other industrial sectors.<\/section>\n
On the consumption front, the contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth was\u00a069.4 percent<\/strong>,\u00a018.7 percentage points higher than the same period last year. The market demand for consumer goods expanded, driving the growth of related manufacturing industries. In Q1 2022, the added value of consumer goods manufacturing industry\u00a0increased 8.1 percent<\/strong>\u00a0y-o-y.<\/section>\n
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Fixed asset investment\u00a0(FAI)\u00a0increased 6.7 percent<\/strong>\u00a0y-o-y, compared with a 12.2 percent y-o-y rise in January-February. State spending has been further concentrated in infrastructure FAI. Yet, a sector breakdown showed that activity in the construction industry\u00a0increased only 1.4 percent<\/strong>\u00a0y-o-y in real terms over the quarter, despite the jump in infrastructure spending.Nonetheless,\u00a0retail sales\u00a0fell 3.5 percent<\/strong>\u00a0y-o-y in March, more than the expected 1.6 percent decrease and\u00a0down from 6.8 percent<\/strong>\u00a0y-o-y growth in January-February. The Chinese job market has shown slight signs of stress with the\u00a0unemployment rate\u00a0at\u00a05.5 percent<\/strong>\u00a0and more than 10.7 million university graduates entering the labor force.On the financial side,\u00a0annual tax cuts and fees\u00a0is reaching\u00a0RMB 2.5 trillion<\/strong>, which will support the stabilization of the real economy. People’s Bank of China will\u00a0lower cash reserve requirements\u00a0for banks, releasing about\u00a0RMB 530 billion<\/strong>\u00a0(US$83.25 billion) in long-term liquidity, to ease difficulties of enterprises and promote the smooth operation of the economy.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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FDI performance<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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In Q1 2022, mainland China attracted\u00a0RMB 379.87 billion<\/strong>\u00a0in\u00a0foreign direct investment (FDI), excluding foreign investment in banking, insurance, and securities. This inflow\u00a0increased 25.6 percent<\/strong>\u00a0y-o-y during this period, which the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) described as\u00a0a \u201cstable beginning\u201d for the year. China’s FDI inflow has continued to see an upward tick, shunning the negative effect of the COVID-19 pandemic.<\/section>\n
According to the State Administration for Market Regulation, there were\u00a010,000 new foreign-invested enterprises\u00a0<\/strong>newly established in China in the first quarter.<\/section>\n
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To further break down the data, the actual use of foreign investment witnessed the largest increase in high-tech sectors, recording a\u00a052.9 percent increase\u00a0<\/strong>y-o-y (RMB 132.83 billion yuan) in high-tech industries,\u00a035.7 percent\u00a0<\/strong>increase in high-tech manufacturing, and\u00a057.8 percent<\/strong>\u00a0increase in high-tech services. The service industry also increased to RMB\u00a0278.52 billion<\/strong>, up 17.1 percent y-o-y in Q1.In terms of regional distribution, the actual use of foreign investment in the eastern, central, and western regions of China increased by\u00a023.4 percent<\/strong>,\u00a060.7 percent<\/strong>, and\u00a021.9 percent<\/strong>\u00a0y-o-y, respectively.China’s emphasis on innovation-driven development and its accelerated efforts to establish a unified domestic market have been driving FDI growth, especially in high-tech and the services sectors.\u00a0MOFCOM also foresees increase of investment\u00a0in alternative fuel vehicle manufacturing, with the country’s accelerated efforts to pursue innovation-driven development and a greener growth pathway.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
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Enabling environment for robust investment<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
China’s firm determination to expand market access and build an efficient, fair, and unified domestic market continuously injects fresh impetus into the economy and fosters high-quality development. The country has created a supportive environment for foreign enterprises for further investment.<\/section>\n
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Shortened negative list for market access<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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On March 25, 2022, China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) released\u00a0a shortened negative list for market access\u00a0from 123 in 2020 to 117. The new list removes restrictions on stock issuance, mergers and acquisitions of listed companies, and internet financial information services. Now, investors no longer need prior approval to participate in these industries.This is part of continuous effort by China to open up its economy and liberalize its financial sector as the government seeks to further stimulate economic growth.<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Analysis\u00a0of NDRC data shows that China has shortened the negative list for market access since 2018, and\u00a0the number of items on the list has been curbed by nearly one-fifth.\u00a0Nonetheless, restrictions on news media have further tightened.The list applies to both international and domestic investors. It should be distinguished from the\u00a0Special Administrative Measures (Negative\u00a0List) for Foreign Investment Access\u00a0and the\u00a0Special Administrative Measures (Negative\u00a0List) for Foreign Investment Access in Pilot Free Trade Zones\u00a0(FTZs),\u00a0which are separate\u00a0negative\u00a0lists that apply\u00a0exclusively to foreign investors.<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Establishing a unified domestic market<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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On April 10, China released\u00a0\u201cOpinions on Accelerating the Establishment of a Unified Domestic Market\u201d,\u00a0a new set of plans\u00a0for developing the country’s internal market. The opinions will reduce local protectionism, market segmentation, or impediments restricting economic circulation, to facilitate a smooth flow of products and resources on a larger scale, thus increasing market efficiency and reducing transaction costs.Efforts will focus on\u00a0high-level connectivity of market facilities\u00a0<\/strong>by upgrading the circulation network, smoothing information exchange, and optimizing trading platforms to improve efficiency.Further standardization of the internal market also benefits foreign investors reciprocally. Free from misalignment of institutional arrangements and human factors, barriers to market entry and exit will be lessened. Domestic and international markets will be\u00a0better connected,<\/strong>\u00a0with regulations and standards more compatible and China’s dual circulation development paradigm enhanced.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Regional Comprehensive Economic\u00a0<\/strong>Partnership (RCEP)<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Effective January 1, 2022, the RCEP is one of the largest regional trade blocs. According to\u00a0Customs statistics, in the first quarter, Chinese enterprises benefitted a fair deal from membership to the RCE \u2013\u00a0RMB 6.7 billion<\/strong>\u00a0in imports with preferential tariff treatment worth\u00a0RMB 130 million<\/strong>\u00a0and\u00a0RMB 37.1 billion<\/strong>\u00a0in exports with preferential tariff treatment worth\u00a0RMB 250 million.<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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What to watch going forward:\u00a0<\/strong>Challenges and opportunities<\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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The state of global affairs<\/strong>\u00a0has become more complex since March. China is now facing twofold challenges \u2013 the pandemic resurgence at home and uncertainties due to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.More specifically,\u00a0extended lockdown<\/strong>\u00a0in the commercial hub, Shanghai, has prompted fears of rising recessionary risks and stress to enterprises in terms of production and operations.\u00a0How to balance economic development and effective control of the virus remains the critical question for the Chinese government.In addition,\u00a0the\u00a0conflict<\/strong>\u00a0between Russia and Ukraine\u00a0has interrupted global supply chains of certain products and increased export controls. As geopolitical tensions increase, so will commodity and logistics costs as well. While China has refrained from joining sanctions on Russia, Beijing may face potential pullout of international investors.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n
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All these factors slow down the growth rate and increase China’s economic downward pressure.\u00a0<\/strong>Faced with these challenges, the\u00a0NBS has still\u00a0voiced optimistic views<\/strong>, indicating the long-term positive fundamentals of China’s economy have not changed and has the capacity to overcome difficulties and achieve sustainable growth.Meanwhile, the focus of China’s economic policymaking has changed in recent years, from the pursuit of high-speed growth to high-quality development. The key drivers of such economic growth include capacity-building in the high-tech manufacturing industry, which witnessed favorable outcomes amid challenges in the first quarter.China’s green transformation is also\u00a0steadily advancing<\/strong>. Low-carbon products are growing faster. In Q1 2022, the production of new energy vehicles and solar cells increased by 140.8 percent and 24.3 percent, respectively. Clean energy consumption continues to rise.<\/p>\n

Moreover, consumption growth was a leading contributor to China’s Q1 economy. Chinese authorities are keenly promoting the integration of online and offline consumption, developing new consumption modes, and accelerating the quality and expansion of the rural consumption market \u2013\u00a0to sustain this consumption growth<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Looking forward,\u00a0several macroeconomic policies and restructuring initiatives will gradually come to effect. Below are some areas to keep track of:<\/p>\n

The establishment of a unified domestic market to bring more efficiency to market players by reducing transactional costs.<\/p>\n

Tax cuts and increased support for real economy that offer enterprises relief during economic distress and stabilize jobs.<\/p>\n

Development trend of entrepreneurship and innovation sectors featuring the high-tech manufacturing industry, namely information transmission, software, and IT services.<\/p>\n

Online retail sales on the back of attractive cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot zones.<\/p>\n

Health and pharmacy industries to likely see more growth amid the COVID outbreaks.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

According to the recently released economic statistics by the\u00a0National Bureau of Statistics\u00a0and the\u00a0Ministry of Commerce, China’s first quarter (Q1) growth exceeded expectations, with an increase of gross domestic product (GDP) by 4.8 percent and growing...<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5483","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nChina Q1 2022 Economic Data Overview- Key Points and Trends - elitestage.cn<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.elitestage.cn\/de\/china-q1-2022-economic-data-overview-key-points-and-trends\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"de_DE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"China Q1 2022 Economic Data Overview- Key Points and Trends - elitestage.cn\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"According to the recently released economic statistics by the\u00a0National Bureau of Statistics\u00a0and the\u00a0Ministry of Commerce, China’s first quarter (Q1) growth exceeded expectations, with an increase of gross domestic product (GDP) by 4.8 percent and growing inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) by 25.6 percent. 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